The market is setting up for one of the most explosive moves we’ve seen all year — and the charts could not be clearer. Both the S&P 500 (ES) and the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) are pressing into mega-resistance zones that will either unleash a squeeze straight into new all-time highs… or trigger a breakdown that opens the door to deep retracements.
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🔥 ES Is Coiling Just Under 6,900 — And That’s the Launchpad
The ES has been grinding around the 0.764 retracement, sitting just under the 6,900 mega-resistance — and that level matters more than anything right now.
Why?
Because a clean break above 6,900 is the trigger that unleashes a squeeze straight into:
- 7,000
- 7,025
- 7,050
- And possibly 7,100 if buyers really push
Structurally, this entire sequence looks like:
- A Wave 4 down
- Followed by a push back up toward 6,900
- Forming a tightening ending diagonal
- Creating an A-B-C pattern
Classic Elliott Wave behavior.
The Bullish Roadmap
The key bullish level is the 6,690–6,700 zone.
A pullback into that area would complete the B-wave and set up the C-wave launch toward:
➡️ 7,025–7,100 (all-time highs zone)
If this unfolds, we could be watching one of the cleanest Elliott Wave finishes of the year.
The Bearish Roadmap
For bears to take control, they MUST:
- Reject 6,900
- Break down below 6,625
If they pull that off, the downside opens quickly toward:
➡️ 6,450
From there, structure will tell us whether a larger correction is in play or if bulls are simply resetting before a push higher.
🔥 NASDAQ (NQ) Showing the Same A-B-C Structure — With Huge Levels Ahead
The NASDAQ is mirroring the ES setup almost perfectly.
We have:
- A Wave 4 down
- A move into major resistance
- And a tightening structure that is begging for a breakout
NQ is pressing into the 25,800 mega-resistance zone.
If bulls push through 25,800, the squeeze is likely to target:
➡️ 26,500–26,700 (new all-time highs)
That’s the full C-wave extension — clean, proportional, and high-probability if resistance breaks.
If price gets rejected, we look for:
- A B-wave pullback
- Into the 25,000 area
- Before the final C-wave attempts another push toward 26,500–26,700
For bears, the roadmap is simple:
- Hold 25,800
- Break down below 24,479
If they do, the downside opens fast toward:
➡️ 23,007–23,260
That would be the full corrective extension.
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🔥 Final Thoughts
Both ES and NQ are sitting on major inflection zones that will determine whether we explode into fresh all-time highs or pivot into deeper corrections.
Here’s the simple version:
- Above resistance → massive squeeze
- Below key breakdown levels → deeper retracement
- A-B-C structures completing → explosive C-waves coming
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