The market has been tightening for four straight days — coiling, compressing, winding itself into a level that refuses to budge — and now we’re finally stepping into the moment where something has to give. ES is pressing directly into the 6,900 resistance zone… a level thick with trapped traders, exhausted buyers, and algorithms waiting to fire. And when a market leans this heavily into a ceiling like that, the next move often arrives with force.
What happens after that first reaction could determine everything that unfolds next.
🔥 ES: 6,900 Is the Gatekeeper — and It Won’t Be Quiet When It Breaks
We’re not just at resistance — we’re at major resistance, the kind that tends to define the next leg of the trend.
ES has built a picture-perfect structure here:
- A tightening 4-day coil
- A clear resistance ceiling at 6,900
- A likely rejection path into 6,700
- And the setup for a C-wave launch toward fresh all-time highs
That pullback — the one that catches traders off guard, the one that looks like weakness — is likely the exact move that sets up the next advance.
Because if ES can reject cleanly off 6,900, find footing near 6,700, and hold support… the C-wave should carry price right back into the 7,025–7,100 zone.
That’s where the next major expansion sits.
That’s where the squeeze turns into momentum.
And that’s where the bulls will attempt to write the next chapter.
But there’s another side to this…
If those support levels fail — if the 6,700 and 6,625 zones start slipping — November’s lows suddenly come back into play, and the drop could be faster than most expect.
🔥 NQ: Same Story, Same Pressure… Different Explosion Point
NQ is marching into its own version of the same setup.
Major resistance sits at 25,800, and price is leaning into it hard.
If the market rejects, the structure suggests a pullback into 25,000–24,700, mirroring the ES rhythm almost tick for tick.
From there?
That’s where the C-wave would ignite, pushing NQ into the 26,500–26,700 all-time-high zone.
But if support fails — especially under 24,700 and again below 24,479 — the entire coil unwinds in the opposite direction, and the move down could quickly break November’s lows.
This is the kind of setup that rewards patience… and punishes prediction.
🔥 What Traders Should Watch Right Now
The story isn’t the resistance.
The story isn’t even the breakout.
The story is the pullback — the surprise move that shakes out traders before the real one begins. That’s where the edge sits. That’s where opportunity tends to live. And that’s where the next wave begins forming long before anyone sees it.
Watch these levels:
For ES
- Rejection off 6,900
- Support at 6,700
- Breakdown risk under 6,625
- Upside target 7,025–7,100
For NQ
- Rejection off 25,800
- Support at 25,000–24,700
- Breakdown risk under 24,479
- Upside target 26,500–26,700
These supports are not optional.
If they fail, we could see the sharpest drop since early November.
But if they hold…
The next move could be the one traders have been waiting for.
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