FED Day lived up to its reputation — wild swings, emotional traps, and opportunity hidden beneath the noise.


🧩 FED Day Recap: A Masterclass in Market Noise

FED Day is notorious for luring traders into overtrading — and this session was no exception. The markets chopped back and forth as investors reacted to every word from Powell, trying to price in future rate expectations in real time.

But while the intraday volatility was intense, the underlying structure of the market hasn’t changed. The big picture still points higher, with the S&P 500 targeting 7000 SPX (7035 ES) once the market digests the short-term whipsaw.

Lesson of the day: Don’t confuse volatility with opportunity. Let the noise fade — then follow structure.


📈 SP500 Technical Analysis: Targeting 7000 SPX

The S&P 500 remains in a strong uptrend, but the pace of its advance is slowing — a classic setup for a Wave 4 corrective pullback before the next push higher.

  • Primary Target: 7000 SPX
  • Futures Equivalent: 7035 ES
  • Support Zone: 6880 — this is the area to watch for potential dip-buying interest.
  • Trigger Level: A confirmed break below yesterday’s low could open the door for a short-term correction.

A move back toward 6880 would likely be a controlled retracement, not a reversal. As long as higher-timeframe structure holds, 7000 remains the gravitational target for this leg of the move.


💻 Nasdaq Technical Analysis: Watch the Edges of the Range

The Nasdaq mirrored the S&P’s indecision with sharp intraday swings, but technical levels remain well-defined.

  • Resistance Zone: 26300–26309
  • Support Zone: 26165

Holding above 26165 keeps the structure bullish, setting the stage for continuation once the FED-day noise clears. Losing that level would confirm a short-term fade aligning with the SPX Wave 4 scenario.

In both indices, the key is to let liquidity events like this burn off before entering with conviction. The trend doesn’t disappear on FED Day — it just hides behind the volatility.


🧠 Trader’s Mindset: Patience > Prediction

Trading isn’t about predicting every candle — it’s about waiting for clarity and executing when the odds are stacked in your favor.

FED Days are designed to test emotional control. The best traders protect capital, sit on their hands when needed, and let others chase the chop.

“Noise shakes the weak hands; structure rewards the patient.”

This is where trading maturity shows — in restraint, not reaction.


📊 The Road Ahead

  • A pullback toward 6880 SPX would be healthy and expected.
  • As long as the market holds above major support levels, the 7000–7035 zone remains the ultimate upside magnet.
  • Post-FED digestion could set up a clean trend resumption over the next few sessions.

Stay focused on structure, not soundbites. Price tells the truth — eventually.


⚡️ Key Takeaways

  • FED Day = Trap for overtraders.
  • SPX Target: 7000 (7035 ES equivalent).
  • Wave 4 pullback potential: 6880 support zone.
  • Nasdaq levels: 26300–309 resistance, 26165 support.
  • Discipline wins over prediction every time.

📢 Final Thoughts

The market just gave us a reminder: volatility isn’t the enemy — impatience is.
Focus on the levels, respect your risk, and let structure do the heavy lifting.